Using System Dynamics Approach to Development of Enrollment Policies in Higher Education: A Case of Teacher Education Faculties in Croatia

Abstract

The paper proposes an approach to development of higher education enrollment policies based on system dynamics as an appropriate mathematical modelling method for modelling nonlinearity, time delays and feedback loops. The model of teacher education students’ population in Croatia is presented, to enhance forecasting, planning and support the decision-making process. Simulation is conducted for the period from 2016 to 2021 based on historical data for the period from 2010 to 2015. The results show that system dynamics modelling can support decision making regarding enrollment policies by presenting simulated data and providing recommendations to teacher education faculties and education authorities.