Power customer complaint prediction model based on time series analysis

Abstract

To improve customer service of power enterprises, this paper constructs an intelligent prediction model for customer complaints in the near future based on the big data on power service. Firstly, three customer complaint prediction models were established, separately based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series algorithm, multiple linear regression (MLR) algorithm, and backpropagation neural network (BPNN) algorithm. The predicted values of the three models were compared with the real values. Through the comparison, the BPNN model was found to achieve the best predictive effect. To help the BPNN avoid local minimum, the genetic algorithm (GA) was introduced to optimize the BPNN model. Finally, several experiments were conducted to verify the effect of the optimized model. The results show that the relative error of the optimized model was less than 40% in most cases. The proposed model can greatly improve the customer service of power enterprises.