Predictive models for mortality and length of hospital stay in an Egyptian burns centre

Abstract

Our aim was to obtain a statistical profile of survivors and deaths among burn victims and to develop predictive models for mortality and length of hospital stay. All patients admitted to the Burns Unit of Alexandria Main University Hospital over a 1-year period were included. Of 533 cases, mean length of hospital stay was 15.5 ± 21.6 days and the mortality rate was 33%. Total surface area burnt, inhalation burns, age, sex, depth and degree of burn wounds were the significant independent predictors of mortality in multiple logistic regression analysis. The significant independent predictors of the length of hospital stay were clothing ignition, total surface area burnt, sex, degree and depth of burn and inhalation burns.