Rolling the DICE® for Agile Software Projects

Abstract

The DICE1 framework provides means for predicting the outcome of change management initiatives. The four factors: duration, integrity, commitment, and effort are evaluated and a score is calculated. The DICE® score is used to classify projects into win, worry, or woe zones. In this paper, we apply the DICE® framework to predict the outcome of a software project that is migrating from waterfall to agile practices. We propose fine-tuning of the four factors to improve the score and show how to use DICE® for communication with the stakeholders. Finally, we make a claim that evaluation against the DICE® framework confirms that agile projects have a higher chance of success than traditional waterfall projects. © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2006.