Declining growth of mauna loa during the last 100,000 years: Rates of lava accumulation vs. gravitational subsidence

Abstract

Long-term growth rates of Hawaiian volcanoes are difficult to determine because of the short historical record, problems in dating tholeiitic basalt by K-Ar methods, and concealment of lower volcanic flanks by 5 km of seawater. Combined geologic mapping, petrologic and geochemical studies, geochronologic determinations, marine studies, and scientific drilling have shown that, despite frequent large historical eruptions (avg. 1 per 7 years since mid 19th century), the lower subaerial flanks of Mauna Loa have grown little during the last hundred thousand years. Coastal lava-accumulation rates have averaged less than 2 mm/year since 10 to 100 ka along the Mauna Loa shoreline, slightly less than recent isostatic subsidence rates of 2.4-2.6 mm/yr. Since 30 ka, lava accumulation has been greatest on upper flanks of the volcano at times of summit caldera overflows; rift eruptions have been largely confined to vents at elevations above +2,500 m, and activity has diminished lower along both rift zones. Additional indicators of limited volcanic construction at lower levels and declining eruptive activity include: (1) extensive near-surface preservation of Pahala Ash along the southeast coast, dated as older than about 30 ka; (2) preservation in the Ninole Hills of block-slumped ancestral Mauna Loa lavas erupted at 100-200 ka; (3) preservation low in the subaerial Kealakekua landslide fault scarp of lavas newly dated by K-Ar as 166±53 ka; (4) preservation of submerged coral reefs (150 m depth) dated at 14 ka and fossil shoreline features (as much as 350-400 m depth), with estimated ages of 130-150 ka, that have survived without burial by younger Mauna Loa lavas and related ocean-entry debris; (5) incomplete filling of old landslide breakaway scars; (6) limited deposition of post-landslide lava on lower submarine slopes (accumulation mostly <1,000 m depth); and (7) decreased deformation and gravitational instability of the volcanic edifice. In addition, the estimated recent magmasupply rate for Mauna Loa, about 28x106m3/yr since 4 ka (including intrusions), is inadequate to have constructed the present-day edifice (80x103 km3) within a geologically feasible interval (0.6-1.0 m.y.); higher magma supply (100x106 m3/yr?, comparable to present-day Kilauea) must have prevailed during earlier times of more rapid volcano growth. Interpreted collectively, these features indicate that the emerged area of Mauna Loa and its eruptive vigor were greater in the past than at present. Volcanic growth due to lava accumulation has been offset by subsidence and by landsliding on the lower flanks of the volcano. Along with the apparent “drying up” of distal parts of the rift zones, these features suggest that Mauna Loa is nearing the end of the tholeiitic shield-building stage of Hawaiian volcanism.