Urban growth and land use simulation using SLEUTH model for Adama City, Ethiopia

Abstract

Urban Growth Model has been adapted to study the urban growth and its impact on the surrounding environment. Here a cellular automaton model known as SLEUTH has been standardize using multi historical digital maps of areas to forecast the future coverage of an urban and land use. The model will use the best fit growth rule parameters by narrowing coefficients throughout calibration mode and passed down to predict future urban growth pattern, generate various probability map and LULC map. As per SLEUTH modelling, the generated future urban growth pattern prediction of Adama city shows that nearly 42.89% urban rise in 2020, 46.85% in 2030, 49.15% in 2040 and 50.49% in 2050. Generally, the expansion of the urban growth pattern is exhibiting new spreading centre which are indication of a city to expand also the result present useful information for future urban planning and improvement.