Assessing the emergence of bioeconomy in transition economies by a future-oriented approach: The case of poland

Abstract

A seven-step approach is proposed for the assessment and management of bioeconomy-related developments affecting the pathway of transition economies and societies. The particular action steps of this approach include methodological elements from various fields, with emphasis on future-oriented methods, especially horizon scanning, identification of key drivers and barriers and scenario-building. These are combined with other relevant tools, such as mapping, techno-economic evaluation, technology assessment and strategy and policy analysis. This approach is applied in this paper to the case of Poland, a country currently in the process of preparing its bioeconomy strategy in the frame of regional and national smart specialisation efforts.