Multicriteria decision-making tool for optimal water resource management

Abstract

On the basis of formalization of interrelations between global and hydrological changes the mathematical model for optimal water resource management was elaborated. Its distinctive feature is the possibility to investigate regimes with sudden, discontinuous changes or phase transitions as a result of small, continuous changes in variables that influence the water system. Model permits to determine the conditions for sustainable development and the possible mechanisms of chaotic behavior that causes the instability in the area of environmental security. © 2007 Springer.