The rise of China and the US-Europe alliance drift in the 2010s: A lost decade for the European Union?

Abstract

The United States and its allies within the European Union have been unable to forge a common response to deal with the rise of China. Even though China's growing global presence might undermine the international position of the United States, Washington's European allies have sometimes refused to close ranks with their American ally. And more importantly, European engagement with China during the last decade has lacked internal consistency and cohesion, to the point that the European Union has rarely been the relevant actor when it comes to shaping Europe-China relations. This is the conclusion reached by this paper after analyzing the EU's behavior on the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, the Belt and Road Initiative, the adoption of Huawei's 5G technology and the consideration of China as a threat within NATO's framework. The European Commission has been unwilling or unable to unite the member states around a common position on these four cases. However, the findings of this article also support the idea that an embryonic model of strategic autonomy was already underway during the last decade, and that the growing awareness within the EU about the importance and implications of China's rise brings new geopolitical opportunities for the union.