Investigation of Wind Characteristics for Antalya Region by Using Weibull Distribution

Abstract

The most widely used statistical method that is used to determine the wind energy potential for a specific region is Weibull distribution or probability function. Using two-parameter Weibull distribution function, wind characteristics such as mean wind speed and mean wind power can be forecasted. In this study, the mean wind speed and wind power potential for Antalya are determined using Graphical, Moment and Maximum Likelihood methods with the help of the data taken from Antalya-Elmalı Meteorological Station. In this way, predicting the wind energy potential of Antalya region, it is discussed whether the possible installation of a wind power plant is feasible or not in this area. The results obtained are evaluated by using error analysis methods that are the Coefficient of Determination (R2) and Root Mean Squares Error (RMSE).