The predictive value of procalcitonin for postoperative early pancreatic fistula

Abstract

Background: To investigate the early prediction value of procalcitonin (PCT) in pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). Method: Retrospective analysis of clinical data of 67 patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and 19 patients undergoing distalpancreatectomy (DP) were performed in the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Leshan People's Hospital from January 2017 to December 2018. All patients were divided into POPF group and non-POPF group depending on the presence of pancreatic fistula. And fistulas were classified according to the ISGPF classification scheme. Plasma PCT levels, serum CRP concentration, and WBC counts were assessed preoperatively and on postoperative days (PODs) 1, 3, and 5. Statistical analyses were performed with statistical software. The ROC curve was used to analyze the efficacy of PCT and CRP in POPF prediction after surgery and determine their Cut-off value. Result: There were no statistically significant differences identified in age, gender, BMI, diabetes, abdominal surgery history, preoperative laboratory data, operation time, intraoperative bleeding volume, tumor nature and medical expenses of PD patients between the two groups (P > 0.05). While the incidence of postoperative hyperglycemia, postoperative ICU rate and postoperative hospital stay were statistically significant (P < 0.05). The AUC for PCT diagnosis of pancreatic fistula 1 day after surgery was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.675 ~ 0.860). Compared with CRP [0.53 (95% CI: 0.420 ~ 0.639)] and WBC [0.60 (95% CI: 0.490 ~ 0.705)], the optimal cut-off value (cut-off) was 0.67 μg/L. At this time, the sensitivity and specificity of detecting pancreatic fistula were 73.68 and 76.12%, respectively. The results at 3 days after surgery were similar to those at 5 days after surgery. And DP patients had similar results as PD patients. Conclusion: The PCT is valuable for early prediction of pancreatic fistula after Pancreaticoduodenectomy.