Partial least square model (PLS) as a tool to predict the diffusion of steroids across artificial membranes

Abstract

One of the most challenging goals in modern pharmaceutical research is to develop models that can predict drugs’ behavior, particularly permeability in human tissues. Since the permeability is closely related to the molecular properties, numerous characteristics are necessary in order to develop a reliable predictive tool. The present study attempts to decode the permeability by correlating the apparent permeability coefficient (Papp) of 33 steroids with their properties (physicochemical and structural). The Papp of the molecules was determined by in vitro experiments and the results were plotted as Y variable on a Partial Least Squares (PLS) model, while 37 pharmacokinetic and structural properties were used as X descriptors. The developed model was subjected to internal validation and it tends to be robust with good predictive potential (R2Y = 0.902, RMSEE = 0.00265379, Q2Y = 0.722, RMSEP = 0.0077). Based on the results specific properties (logS, logP, logD, PSA and VDss) were proved to be more important than others in terms of drugs Papp. The models can be utilized to predict the permeability of a new candidate drug avoiding needless animal experiments, as well as time and material consuming experiments.