Probability modelling of accesses to the course activities in the web-based educational system

Abstract

The aim of the paper is the probability modelling of accesses to the categories of activities of e-learning course in learning management system. We are concerned with the access probabilities to individual activities of e-learning course content depending on the part of the week (workweek and weekend). The probabilities are estimated through multinomial logit model. We pay attention to data preparation issues. We describe used model in more detail and deal with parameter estimations. Finally, we figure that the multinomial logit model finds its application mainly in the process of restructuring the existing e-learning courses. We discuss about its possible contribution to the improvement of the learning management as well as in the personalization of the course content and structure. © 2011 Springer-Verlag.