Research on forecast method of railway passenger flow demand in pre-sale period

Abstract

The railway demand scientific forecasting is a rapid response mechanism for the railway sector, rational layout train plan for achieving definitive dynamic adjustment, and the basis for carrying out revenue management. In the railway industry, with changes of the seasons, holidays, emergencies and strategic competitor (such as airline routes for a certain period of reduced discount), passenger flow demand changes. Based on actual demand, this paper proposes an adaptive and flexible method of the railway passenger flow forecasting, which can be adapted to the above factors.