Risk stratification by means of biological age-related factors better predicts cancer-specific survival than chronological age in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma: a multi-institutional database study

Abstract

Background: Chronological age is an important factor in determining the treatment options and clinical response of patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). Much evidence suggests that chronological age alone is an inadequate indicator to predict the clinical response to radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). Patients and methods: We retrospectively reviewed the data from 1510 patients with UTUC (Ta-4) treated by surgery. White blood cell (WBC) count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, hemoglobin (Hb), platelets, albumin, alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase, creatinine, and corrected calcium were tested by the Spearman correlation to indicate the direction of association with chronological age, which yielded significant, negative associations of Hb (p < 0.001) and WBC (p = 0.010) with chronological age. For scoring, we assigned points for these categories as follows; point ‘0’ for Hb >14 (reference) and 13–13.9 [odds ratio (OR): 1.533], point ‘1’ for 12–12.9 (OR: 2.391), point ‘2’ for 11–11.9 (OR: 3.015), and point ‘3’ for <11 (OR: 3.584). For WBC, point ‘1’ was assigned for >9200 (OR: 2.541) and ‘0’ was assigned for the rest; 9200–8500 (reference), 8499–6000 (OR: 0.873), 5999–4500 (OR: 0.772), 4499–3200 (OR: 0.486), and <3200 (OR: 1.277). Results: The 10-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) in the higher risk group with scores of 4 or higher in patients age <60 years was worse than a score of 0, or 1 in age >80 years [mean estimated survival 69.7 months, confidence interval (CI): 33.3–106 versus 103.5. CI: 91–115.9]. The concordance index between biological age scoring and chronological age was 0.704 for CSS and 0.798 for recurrence-free survival. The limitation of the present study is the retrospective nature of the cohort included. Conclusions: The biological age scoring developed for patients with UTUC undergoing RNU. It was applicable to those with localized disease and performed well in diverse age populations.