A Methodological Approach Towards Crisis Simulations: Qualifying CI-Enabled Information Systems

Abstract

Low probability high impact events (LoPHIEs) disrupt organizations’ processes severely. Existing methods used for the anticipation and management of such events, suffer from common limitations resulting in a huge impact to the quantification of probability, uncertainty and risk. Continues studies in the field of Crisis Informatics, present an opportunity for the development of a framework that fits the uncertainty related properties of LoPHIEs. The paper identifies the need for the development and conduction of a series of experiments, aiming to address the factors that qualify Collective Intelligence-enabled Information Systems with respect to their applicability towards support for LoPHIEs; and aims to propose an experiment framework as a methodology for scenario design in LoPHIEs settings.