Particle swarm optimization of ensemble neural networks with type-1 and type-2 fuzzy integration for the Taiwan stock exchange

Abstract

This paper describes an optimization method based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) for ensemble neural networks with type-1 and type-2 fuzzy aggregation for forecasting complex time series. The time series that was considered in this paper to compare the hybrid approach with traditional methods is the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TAIEX), and the results shown are for the optimization of the structure of the ensemble neural network with type-1 and type-2 fuzzy integration. Simulation results show that ensemble approach produces good prediction of the Taiwan Stock Exchange.