Why Do the Maximum Intensities in Modeled Tropical Cyclones Vary Under the Same Environmental Conditions?

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Abstract

In this study w e explored why the different initial tropical cyclone structures can result in different steady-state maximum intensities in model simulations with the same environmental conditions. We discovered a linear relationsh ip between the radius of maximum wind (rm) and the absolute angular momentum that passes through rm (Mm) in the model simulated steady-state tropical cyclones that rm = aMm+b. This nonnegligible intercept b is found to be the key to making a steady-state storm with a larger Mm more intense. The sensitivity experiments show that this nonzero b results mainly from horizontal turbulent mixing and decreases with decreased horizontal mixing. Using this linear relationship from the simulations, it is also found that the degree of supergradient wind is a function of Mm as well as the turbulent mixing length such that both a larger Mm and/or a reduced turbulent mixing length result in larger supergradient winds.

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Tao, D., Bell, M., Rotunno, R., & van Leeuwen, P. J. (2020). Why Do the Maximum Intensities in Modeled Tropical Cyclones Vary Under the Same Environmental Conditions? Geophysical Research Letters, 47(3). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085980

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