Forecast for Phoenicids in 2008,2014, and 2019

Abstract

We report here on a complete forecast of the activity of future Phoenicid meteor showers in the period 2008-2020. We detail predictions of Phoenicids activities during three years: 2008, 2014, and 2019. In 2008, the trail of 1866 will intersect with the Earth orbit. In 2014, the origin of the activity will be due to several trails formed from the 19th to the early 20th centuries. The display in 2014 will be the most spectacular meteor showers among the three cases because of a favorable geometric condition. In 2019, the Earth will approach four trails formed between 1872 and 1882, and one trail of 1946. Since the parent body had not been observed during the above-mentioned period, the activity of these meteor showers is important for estimating the degree of cometary activity for this parent body during this period. © 2010. Astronomical Society of Japan.