A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease

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Abstract

To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynamics of such diseases.

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Bardina, X., Ferrante, M., & Rovira, C. (2020). A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease. AIMS Mathematics, 5(6), 7661–7677. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2020490

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