Forecasting Accessories Forming on the Basis of Historical Prototyping

Abstract

The basis of modern design for women's accessories is a statistical information obtained through questionnaires distributed among the population. However, this method cannot meet the requirements of medium-term forecasting, which would be more beneficial in modern conditions. The medium-term forecast is based on historical databases. It is reasonable to start collecting data for the medium-term forecast, referring to the beginning of the XIX century. The era of Empire style was the founder for the development of women's and men's accessories thanks to the changed way of life and the way of life people got used to. The French revolution changed people's attitude to life, thus becoming a trigger for the formation of modern society in our understanding. A special aspect in the formation of society was the emergence of a dress code the phenomenon we understand now, but which was completely innovative then. Dress code soaked through all social classes, dictating to them how to look for each and every moment in their life. Partially because of its emergence a need appeared for sophisticated system not only in costumes but also for accessories, especially for women. Also, The French Revolution led people to push their own horizons, relocate more often and get out of their habitat, which undoubtedly led to the need to carry things, and therefore dictated the shape and volume of leather goods. The most distinguished female images at that time were: home, ball room, outdoor, social. Home image did not require special devices for carrying things. In contrast to the home, ball room, outdoor and social required some accessories, which formed the basis for the first three types of design of women's leather accessories. The same types of design are easy to detect through 20th century, no less relevant they are now. Their design and design criteria, no ware the basis for building medium-term forecasts.