A Paradigm Shift in the Combination Changes of SARS-CoV-2 Variants and Increased Spread of Delta Variant (B.1.617.2) across the World

Abstract

Since September 2020, the SARS-CoV-2 variants have gained their dominance worldwide, especially in Kenya, Italy, France, the UK, Turkey, Indonesia, India, Finland, Ireland, Singapore, Denmark, Germany, and Portugal. In this study, we developed a model on the frequency of delta variants across 28 countries (R2= 0.1497), displaying the inheritance of mutations during the generation of the delta variants with 123,526 haplotypes. The country-wise haplotype network showed the distribution of haplotypes in USA (10,174), Denmark (5,637), India (4,089), Germany (2,350), Netherlands (1,899), Sweden (1,791), Italy (1,720), France (1,293), Ireland (1,257), Belgium (1,207), Singapore (1,193), Portugal (1,184) and Spain (1,133). Our analysis shows the highest haplotype in Europe with 84% and the lowest in Australia with 0.00001%. A model of scatter plot was generated with a regression line which provided the estimated rate of mutation, including 24.048 substitutions yearly. Our study concluded that the high global prevalence of the delta variants is due to a high frequency of infectivity, supporting the paradigm shift of the viral variants.