Modeling CO2 solubility in water using gradient boosting and light gradient boosting machine

Abstract

The growing application of carbon dioxide (CO2) in various environmental and energy fields, including carbon capture and storage (CCS) and several CO2-based enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques, highlights the importance of studying the phase equilibria of this gas with water. Therefore, accurate prediction of CO2 solubility in water becomes an important thermodynamic property. This study focused on developing two powerful intelligent models, namely gradient boosting (GBoost) and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) that predict CO2 solubility in water with high accuracy. The results revealed the outperformance of the GBoost model with root mean square error (RMSE) and determination coefficient (R2) of 0.137 mol/kg and 0.9976, respectively. The trend analysis demonstrated that the developed models were highly capable of detecting the physical trend of CO2 solubility in water across various pressure and temperature ranges. Moreover, the Leverage technique was employed to identify suspected data points as well as the applicability domain of the proposed models. The results showed that less than 5% of the data points were detected as outliers representing the large applicability domain of intelligent models. The outcome of this research provided insight into the potential of intelligent models in predicting solubility of CO2 in pure water.