Forecasting of Traffic Congestion

  • Kerner B
  • Rehborn H
  • Aleksic M
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Abstract

Results of investigations of a recent method for the automatic tracing of moving traffic jams and of the prediction of time-dependent vehicle trip times are presented using different levels of data inputs. The method is based on the previous findings that moving jams possess some characteristic parameters, i.e., the parameters are unique, coherent, predictable and reproducible. Based on available data it is found that the method, which performs without any validation of the parameters of a model under different infrastructures of a highway, weather, etc., can be applied for a reliable forecasting of traffic congestions on a highway.

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Kerner, B. S., Rehborn, H., & Aleksic, M. (2000). Forecasting of Traffic Congestion. In Traffic and Granular Flow ’99 (pp. 339–344). Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-59751-0_32

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