ALK-brain prognostic index—preliminary study of a prognostic tool for patients with ALK-rearranged, non-small cell lung cancer and brain metastases

Abstract

Background: Disease-specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (DS-GPA) is the most validated prognostic tool for patients with brain metastasized lung cancer. The Lung-molGPA scoring system was recently introduced for oncogenic-driven brain metastasized lung cancer, but has not yet been validated in cohorts including only ALK-translocated tumors. Methods: We designed a retrospective cohort study consisting of 44 patients with brain metastasized ALK-positive, non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who were treated between January 2009 and November 2019 at Karolinska University Hospital in Stockholm, Sweden. Information about demographics and clinicopathological parameters were collected. Predictors of overall survival (OS) were identified by Cox regression analyses. A bootstrap validation with 1000 samples was performed in order to compare the different prognostic scores. Results: The variables found to independently influence OS in the multivariate analysis, i.e., PS, sex and brain metastases at diagnosis, were used as prognostic variables in our new prognostic index (ALK-BPI). Patients were divided into two prognostic groups. The median OS was 65.7 months for the good prognostic group and 22.7 months for the poor prognostic group (p = 0.0068). In the univariate analysis of the different prognostic scores, ALK-BPI performed better than the others (HR = 3.6; 95% CI: 1.3–9.9). The mean C-statistics of the different prognostic scores were compared to each other, and no significant difference was observed. Conclusion: We propose the ALK-BPI score as a new prognostic tool that can easily be applied for ALK-positive lung cancer patients with brain metastases in daily clinical practice, as it has at least the same prognostic value as Lung-molGPA.