Research on Short-Term Forecast of Power Load Based on Adam-Gru

Abstract

To forecast the short-term power load accurately and reliably, a short-term power load model based on gate recurrent unit was proposed. In order to improve the accuracy of the model, the Adam algorithm is used to calculate the GRU hyperparameter Optimization, so as to construct an Adam-GRU short-term power load forecasting model. The performance of the forecasting model was evaluated by the Root Mean Square Error and running time, then the forecast results were compared with LSTM method. The experimental results show that Adam-GRU has a higher accuracy than the LSTM model, an increase of 15.54%, and a time complexity reduction of 15.75%. Compared with the RNN model, the accuracy has improved 10.84%. The results show that the short-term power load forecasting model and parameter optimization method based on Adam-GRU can effectively forecast the power load data.