Rural Youth Employability Trends and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic seriously impacts youth employability; especially in rural regions. In rural areas; the lack of system and availability of education; vocational education and training can have a negative impact on a young person's ability to obtain an education and continue to succeed in the labour market. These circumstances can hinder a young person's transition to the labour market. Aims and Objectives: The paper presents a brief analysis of rural youth employment trends; the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic for the labour market in Latvia; and an analysis of the youth employability using dynamic series analysis. Methods: The research methodology implemented for the present research study is based on the theoretical concepts and statistical data regarding the rural youth employment trends and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Results: Based on the results of the research study; it can be concluded that COVID-19 has contributed to job losses by forcing young people from rural areas to move to a city with better access to employment. The authors have concluded that educated women tend to start their own businesses after graduation; which is positive; especially if it is based in rural areas. Conclusion: Based on the authors' calculations; the forecast of employees in the age group from 25 to 34 in Latvia in 2022 is 171.9 thousand; in 2023; it is 156.5 thousand; and in 2024 it is 138.9 thousand. It could be concluded that the projected number of employees in the 25-34 age group will decrease significantly.