Myocardial fibrosis is associated with subsequent death and hospitalization for heart failure in obese adults

Abstract

Background: Cardiac imaging in obese adults poses significant technical challenges, yet the prognostic value of diffuse myocardial fibrosis in obese adults quantified with cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) extracellular volume fraction (ECV) measures is unknown. This issue is important because obesity increases the risks of death and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Myocardial fibrosis measured in obese adults with ECV may indicate vulnerability to death and HHF. Methods: We enrolled 480 consecutive obese patients with a BMI >30 referred for cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) without amyloidosis, stress cardiomyopathy, or hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. We quantified myocardial fibrosis with CMR ECV measures in noninfarcted myocardium. Patient data, BMI, hematocrit, were collected on the day of CMR, and we tracked outcomes prospectively. Results: Median BMI was 35 (IQR 32-41), and median ECV was 27.7% (IQR 25.6%-30.9%, range). BMI and ECV were not related (p=0.90). Over a median 1.5 years (IQR 0.9-2.5yrs), 27 HHF events and 28 deaths occurred after CMR in 50 individuals. Adjusting for age, gender, renal function, myocardial infarction size, ejection fraction, hospitalization status, and heart failure stage, ECV in obese adults was associated with HHF (HR1.92 95%CI 1.40-2.65 for every 5% increase in ECV (ECV range: 16.6-45.8), death (HR 2.50 95%CI 1.59-3.95) or both (HR1.97 95%CI 1.44-2.70). ECV improved the classification of obese adults at risk and improved model discrimination for the composite outcome: e.g., HHF or death [continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) 0.429, 95%CI 0.063-0.758; p=0.02; integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) 0.069, 95% CI 0.016-0.132; p=0.02]. Conclusions: Despite the challenges of cardiac imaging in obese adults, diffuse myocardial fibrosis quantified by ECV is associated with HHF, death, or both. Myocardial fibrosis may represent a principal marker of cardiac vulnerability that improves risk stratification even in the setting of obesity. Since myocardial fibrosis can be reversible, myocardial fibrosis and the fibroblast that regulates it may be attractive therapeutic targets in obese patients. (Figure Presented).