Elevated plasma IL-6 associates with increased risk of advanced fibrosis and cholangiocarcinoma in individuals infected by opisthorchis viverrini

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Abstract

Opisthorchis viverrini is considered among the most important of the food-borne trematodes due to its strong association with advanced periductal fibrosis and bile duct cancer (cholangiocarcinoma). We investigated the relationship between plasma levels of Interleukin (IL)-6 and the risk of developing advanced fibrosis and bile duct cancer from chronic Opisthorchis infection. We show that IL-6 circulates in plasma at concentrations 58 times higher in individuals with advanced fibrosis than age, sex, and nearest-neighbor matched controls and 221 times higher in individuals with bile duct cancer than controls. We also observed a dose-response relationship between increasing levels of plasma IL-6 and increasing risk of advanced fibrosis and bile duct cancer; for example, in age and sex adjusted analyses, individuals with the highest quartiles of plasma IL-6 had a 19 times greater risk of developing advanced periductal fibrosis and a 150 times greater risk of developing of bile duct cancer than individuals with no detectable level of plasma IL-6. Finally, we show that a single plasma IL-6 measurement has excellent positive predictive value for the detection of both advanced bile duct fibrosis and bile duct cancer in regions with high O. viverrini transmission. These data support our hypothesis that common mechanisms drive bile duct fibrosis and bile duct tumorogenesis from chronic O. viverrini infection. Our study also adds a unique aspect to the literature on circulating levels of IL-6 as an immune marker of hepatobiliary pathology by showing that high levels of circulating IL-6 in plasma are not related to infection with O. viverrini, but to the development of the advanced and often lethal pathologies resulting from chronic O. viverrini infection. © 2012 Sripa et al.

Figures

  • Table 1. Descriptive statistics for cases and controls used in the current study.
  • Figure 1. Plasma IL-6 levels are significantly elevated in individuals with Opisthorchis-induced APF and Opisthorchis-induced CCA.
  • Table 2. Odds Ratios for plasma IL-6 levels for O. viverrini infected individuals with and without Advanced Periductal Fibrosis.
  • Table 3. Odds Ratios for plasma IL-6 levels for O. viverrini infected individuals with1 and without Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA)2.
  • Figure 2. Plasma IL-6 concentrations can be used to detect individuals with Opisthorchis-induced advanced periductal fibrosis. A receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curve plots the True Positive Probability (sensitivity) against the False Negative Probability (1– specificity) for the full range of IL-6 cut-off points for the detection of Opisthorchis-induced Advanced Periductal Fibrosis (APF) as determined by ultrasound. The area under the ROC curve is interpreted as the probability of correctly identifying (accuracy) a randomly selected participant as either a case (APF positive) or a non-case (APF negative). The 45-degree line in the graph subsumes an area equal to 0.50 (50%), which is equivalent to using a coin toss procedure to classify participants as either cases or controls. As determined by this ROC curve, the optimal cutpoint is 11 pg/mL of plasma IL-6, which refers to the concentration that maximizes the ‘‘sensitivity’’ and the ‘‘specificity’’ of classifying an individual at APF positive. Based on this cutoff point, the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) and the Negative Predictive Value (NPV) of plasma IL-6 concentration to detect APF was also determined (see Table 4). All analyses were performed using Stata version 10 (College Station, TX). The ROC was derived from 210 O. viverrini infected individuals with Advanced Periductal Fibrosis as determined by ultrasound (gold standard) versus 210 age, sex, and nearest neighbor-matched controls (O. viverrini infected but negative for APF.) doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0001654.g002
  • Table 4. The diagnostic utility of plasma Interleukin (IL)-6 levels for Opisthorchis-induced pathologies.
  • Figure 3. Plasma IL-6 concentrations can be used to detect O. viverrini infected individuals with cholangiocarcinoma (CCA). A receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curve plots the True Positive Probability (sensitivity) against the False Negative Probability (1– specificity) for the full range of IL-6 cut-off points for the determination of Opisthorchis-induced cholangiocarcinoma (CCA). The area under the ROC curve is interpreted as the probability of correctly identifying (accuracy) a randomly selected participant as either a case (APF positive) or a non-case (APF negative). The 45-degree line in the graph subsumes an area equal to 0.50 (50%), which is equivalent to using a coin toss procedure to classify participants as either cases or controls. As determined by this ROC curve, the optimal cutpoint is 11 pg/mL of plasma IL-6, which refers to the concentration that maximizes the ‘‘sensitivity’’ and the ‘‘specificity’’ of classifying an individual at APF positive. Based on this cutoff point, the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) and the Negative Predictive Value (NPV) of plasma IL-6 concentration to detect APF was also determined (see Table 4). All analyses were performed using Stata version 10 (College Station, TX). The ROC was derived from 121 cases of histologically proven, O. viverrini associated CCA cases from the biological repository of the Liver Fluke and Cholangiocarcinoma Research Center, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Thailand and 210 individuals who are O. viverrini infected but negative for APF and CCA. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0001654.g003

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APA

Sripa, B., Thinkhamrop, B., Mairiang, E., Laha, T., Kaewkes, S., Sithithaworn, P., … Bethony, J. M. (2012). Elevated plasma IL-6 associates with increased risk of advanced fibrosis and cholangiocarcinoma in individuals infected by opisthorchis viverrini. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 6(5). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0001654

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