Galactic Cosmic Radiation in the Interplanetary Space Through a Modern Secular Minimum

9Citations
Citations of this article
14Readers
Mendeley users who have this article in their library.

This article is free to access.

Abstract

Recent solar conditions indicate a persistent decline in solar activity—possibly similar to the past solar grand minima. During such periods of low solar activity, the fluxes of galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) increase remarkably, presenting a hazard for long-term crewed space missions. We used data from the Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation (CRaTER) on the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) to examine the correlation between the heliospheric magnetic field, solar wind speed, and solar modulation potential of the GCRs through Cycle 24. We used this correlation to project observations from past secular solar minima, including the Dalton minimum (1790–1830) and the Gleissberg minimum (1890–1920), into the next cycle. For the case of conditions similar to the Dalton (or Gleissberg) minimum, the heliospheric magnetic field could drop to 3.61 (or 4.06) nT, leading to a dose rate increase of ∼75% (or 34%). We showed that accounting for a floor in the modulation potential, invoked by the Badhwar-O'Neill 2014 model, moderates the projected radiation levels in Cycle 25. We used these results to determine the most conservative permissible mission duration (PMD, (Formula presented.) and (Formula presented.) days for 45-year-old male and female astronauts, respectively) based on a 3% risk of exposure-induced death (REID) at the upper 95% confidence interval in interplanetary space.

Cite

CITATION STYLE

APA

Rahmanifard, F., de Wet, W. C., Schwadron, N. A., Owens, M. J., Jordan, A. P., Wilson, J. K., … Townsend, L. W. (2020). Galactic Cosmic Radiation in the Interplanetary Space Through a Modern Secular Minimum. Space Weather, 18(9). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019SW002428

Register to see more suggestions

Mendeley helps you to discover research relevant for your work.

Already have an account?

Save time finding and organizing research with Mendeley

Sign up for free