Early warning and conflict prevention using computational techniques

Abstract

This chapter reviews our principal findings and their implications for early warning and conflict prevention. The results of all our analyses are integrated to provide a possible single solution for increasing peace in the international system. In this chapter, a control algorithm is created using computational intelligence. The chapter assesses different general theories and approaches to early warning and conflict prevention as well as the role that computational intelligence could play in enhancing international early warning and conflict prevention. Finally, the chapter presents our diagnosis and prognosis for the future of international relations. Special attention is given to the three pillars of Kantian peace – democracy, economic interdependence and international organizations – and how, on the basis of our analyses, the international community should use these three forces to promote and spread peace.