A Systems Dynamic Model for Drug Abuse and Drug-Related Crime in the Western Cape Province of South Africa

  • Nyabadza F
  • Coetzee L
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Abstract

The complex problem of drug abuse and drug-related crimes in communities in the Western Cape province cannot be studied in isolation but through the system they are embedded in. In this paper, a theoretical model to evaluate the syndemic of substance abuse and drug-related crimes within the Western Cape province of South Africa is constructed and explored. The dynamics of drug abuse and drug-related crimes within the Western Cape are simulated using STELLA software. The simulation results are consistent with the data from SACENDU and CrimeStats SA, highlighting the usefulness of such a model in designing and planning interventions to combat substance abuse and its related problems.

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Nyabadza, F., & Coetzee, L. (2017). A Systems Dynamic Model for Drug Abuse and Drug-Related Crime in the Western Cape Province of South Africa. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, 2017, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/4074197

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