On choosing the optimal level of significance for the Durbin-Watson test and the Bayesian alternative

  • Fomby T
  • Guilkey D
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This paper critically evaluates the usual ad hoc selection of the level of significance in the Durbin-Watson test and compares this procedure to the Bayesian alternative. The results of Monte Carlo experiments indicate that an α-level substantially larger than that normally used may be appropriate. The Bayesian estimator performed better than all preliminary test estimates in terms of MSE. © 1978.

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  • Thomas B. Fomby

  • David K. Guilkey

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