Causal Decision Theory

by Ellery Eells
PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association ()
  • ISSN: 0270-8647


After a brief presentation of evidential decision theory, causal decision\ntheory, and Newcomb type prima facie counterexamples to the evidential\ntheory, three kinds of "metatickle" defenses of the evidential theory\nare discussed. Each has its weaknesses, but one of them seems stronger\nthan the other two. The weaknesses of the best of the three, and\nthe intricacy of metatickle analysis, does not constitute an advantage\nof causal decision theory over the evidential theory, however. It\nis argued, by way of an example, that causal decision theory also\nstands in need of a metatickle defense.

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