Determinants of credit default swaps spreads in European and Asian markets

Abstract

This article re-examines the determinants of credit default swaps (CDS) spreads in the United States, Europe and Asia-Pacific markets with new data set using linear regressions. These determinants are categorized into two groups: firm-level and macroeconomic variables. We also include two non-traditional moment risk variables in the analysis as we suspect that these measures may capture the effects of possible extreme downside risk, or extreme negative scenarios, in the underlying credit valuation process. Our findings from the United States and abroad confirm the existing evidence on the significant relationship between theoretical determinants of default risk and actual market pricing of CDS. In addition, we provide additional evidence on the importance of the interaction between macroeconomic and firm-specific variables, which is common throughout the world. © 2014 Macmillan Publishers Ltd.