Computational and statistical analysis of surface temperature over inhambane-Mozambique from 1931-2015: The future implications

Abstract

The danger of the El Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) over tropical pacific might be heading for an all-time high. Eighty-five years (1931-2015) surface temperature dataset from Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) over Inhambane-Mozambique were used for this study. The dataset was analyzed using the computational and statistical technique. The maximum monthly surface temperature that was recorded within eighty-five years was given as 16 oC (January - 1990), 21.4 oC (February - 2006), 26.3 oC (March - 2010), 32.7 oC (April - 2010), 35.2 oC (May - 1978), 36.2 oC (June - 2012), 34.8 oC (July - 2002), 32.4 oC (August - 1987), 31.2 oC (September - 1987), 28.7 oC (October - 1951), 22.1 oC (November – 1977 & 2011) and 17.6 oC (December - 2013). From the study, it was discovered that droughts over Mozambique and parts of Southern Africa were not caused by certain extreme ENSO. Rather, the drought was caused by series of continuous processes (extreme weather conditions) that influence certain atmospheric conditions.