Phosphorus (P) loss from soil can impair surface water quality. Losses from soil are related to soil P concentrations, but agronomic measures such as Olsen P do not in many cases predict the potential for P loss. One possible strategy to decrease P loss is to stop applying P fertilizers. We examined the changes in both agronomic (Olsen P) and environmental [water-extractable P (WEP) and calcium chloride-extractable P (CaCl 2-P)] P tests, and the potential implications following a halt to P fertilizer application to four long-term grassland field trials on different soil types. Exponential decreases in Olsen P and WEP concentration over time were observed in three of the four trials, but only in one trial for CaCl 2-P. The rates of decrease in Olsen P (OP) and WEP concentration were best correlated with initial WEP (WEP i) concentration and the quotient of Olsen P i/P retention (PR, a measure of Al- and Fe-oxides), respectively. The equation t=1/(-0.035×ln OP i/PR-0.0455)×(ln WEP t-ln WEP i) was used to predict the time (t) taken for WEP concentrations at the sites to decrease to 0.02mg/L (WEP t), which is proposed as a limit for dissolved reactive phosphorus in overland flow, and the result was 23-44yr. Results from a similar equation for Olsen P predicted a quicker rate of WEP. A significant decline in dry matter (DM) yield was observed at one trial site. For this site, the rate of decline in DM yield was of a similar magnitude to the rate of decline in WEP concentration. This suggests that halting P fertilizer application to decrease P loss as measured by WEP concentration may decrease farm productivity. An alternative, more financially acceptable, strategy is required, such as a negative P balance while maintaining yields with N fertilizer, but further work is required to assess both the agronomic and environmental implications of this strategy. © 2012 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2012 British Society of Soil Science.
CITATION STYLE
Dodd, R. J., Mcdowell, R. W., & Condron, L. M. (2012). Predicting the changes in environmentally and agronomically significant phosphorus forms following the cessation of phosphorus fertilizer applications to grassland. Soil Use and Management, 28(2), 135–147. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-2743.2012.00390.x
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