On China Shifts Gears: Automakers, Oil, Pollution, and Development

Abstract

This paper is about the rise of the automobile in China and the implications of the growth of passenger cars for oil consumption, emissions of conventional pollutants and greenhouse gases, and economic development. Determining how to contend with these competing pressures in China requires careful thought and attention. In order to resolve the seemingly incompatible goals of enhanced environmental protection, greater national security through fewer oil imports, and continued expansion of the manufacturing sector, China will be constantly “shifting gears” as it formulates new policies and economic development strategies in the years ahead. The development and deployment of cleaner and more energy-efficient automotive technologies will be essential to reconcile the needs for environmental protection, national security, and economic development in China.