Modelling of survival of patients with colon adenocarcinoma based on multivariable analysis of the state of cancer cell nuclear apparatus

Abstract

The aim: The creation of a mathematical model of survival in patients with colon adenocarcinoma based on multivariable analysis of the state of cancer cell nuclear apparatus. Patients and Methods: The study was performed on 141 samples of biopsy materials or material obtained during surgical treatment of the patients with colon adenocarcinoma or benign colon neoplasms with the use of histological, morphometric, densitometric, immunohistochemical and mathematical methods. Results: It has been shown that each discrete pattern of the state of adenocarcinoma cell nuclei (quantity of DNA, the number and volume of nuclear organizer regions, expression rates of Ki-67, Bcl-2 and p53) is prognostically invalid in the case of its separate use. Combination of these characteristics significantly enhances prognostic validity of the survival model. Based on equation of Cox proportional hazards, survival model of good quality for the patients with moderately and poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma and increased average DNA content in tumor cell nuclei has been created. Conclusion: The proposed survival model for colon adenocarcinoma demonstrates the quality twice superior to the model based on the use of tumor grade only (G) which in fact is presently used as a sole common independent histological criterion of prognosis.