Integration of Financial Markets in Post Global Financial Crises and Implications for British Financial Sector: Analysis Based on A Panel VAR Model

Abstract

This study analyses the dynamics of integration among global financial markets in the context of Global Financial Crisis (2008) by employing a Panel Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model on the monthly data of nine countries and three markets from Jan 2003 to Oct 2015. It was found that there has been a shift in the association among the global financial markets since Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Moreover, the British financial sectors in Post- GFC world clearly showed a change in the association with the global financial sectors. Particularly, the emerging markets including China, Brazil and India showed a comparatively more significant impact on the UK financial sector implying the increased importance of the latter in the recent past. The German and USA financial sector also showed a change in its impact in the Post-GFC world. It showed that Germany and USA financial sectors have become competitive to the UK financial Sector as the surge in them lead to a relative response from the UK financial sector which could be associated with the portfolio adjustment.