An evidential evaluation of nuclear safeguards

Abstract

Nuclear safeguards evaluation is a complicated issue with many missing values and uncertainties. By invoking Dempster–Shafer theory of evidence, the missing values are assigned to a subset of a set of multiple objects, at the same time, by combining different evaluation values, and the effect of uncertainty will be decreased. In this way, both the missing values and uncertainties are considered in the final evaluations. This method has been used in considering the International Atomic Energy Agency experts’ evaluation for nuclear safeguards. The result shows that (s2, 0.1897) is the biggest belief degree.