Prediction of outcome by neurohumoral activation, the six-minute walk test and the Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire in an outpatient cohort with congestive heart failure

Abstract

Aims: To compare the precursor of atrial and brain natriuretic peptide (N-ANP, N-BNP), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), big endothelin-1, the 6-min walk test and the Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire (LHFQ) with regard to short-term outcome in an ambulatory heart failure population. Methods and Results: Ninety-six individuals (left ventricular ejection fraction of 26 ± 10%) were included in the study. Within 1 day blood samples of N-ANP, N-BNP, BNP and big endothelin-1 were obtained, and the 6-min walk test and LHFQ were measured. The predictive power of these variables - including renin-angiotensin system antagonist therapy - in respect of 1-year event-free survival were calculated with a Cox regression analysis. All investigated variables had the power to predict outcome in a univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis revealed that N-ANP (chi-square=58 P<0-0001), BNP (chi-square=8 P<0.01), the LHFQ (chi-square=6 P<0.02) and the renin-angiotensin system antagonist (chi-square=4 P<0.05), are independent predictors. Conclusion: We conclude that, in an open clinical cohort of patients with large differences in the progression of the disease, N-ANP, BNP and LHFQ are the most reliable predictors of worsening heart failure in the short term. However, the dosage of the ACE inhibitor influenced short-term survival in this population. © 2002 The European Society of Cardiology. Published by Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.