Mitigating CO2 emissions in African transport networks under various policies and scenarios of Paris Agreement compliance

Abstract

This study analyzed the trajectory of CO2 emissions in the African transportation sector under four different policy scenarios: no policy, low policy, the Paris Agreement with sustained ambition, and increased ambition in 2015. The implementation of the Paris Agreement's scenario for increased ambition has the potential to significantly decrease CO2 emissions in African transport networks through the use of diverse techniques. According to the analysis, if the Paris-increased ambition scenario is implemented, North Africa, Southern Africa, Eastern Africa, and West Africa may see a reduction in CO2 emissions of around 23.70%, 24.72%, 23.68%, and 23.86% by 2050. According to these statistics, different African regions have varying CO2 emission reduction potential. Southern Africa is expected to reduce the most by 2030, 2050, 2070, and 2100. This implies that Southern Africa has the greatest capacity for CO2 emission reduction in the near future, making it a key focus for implementing sustainable transport solutions.