Carbon-climate feedback higher when assuming Michaelis-Menten kinetics of respiration

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Abstract

Earth system models simplify complex terrestrial respiration processes assuming a first-order chemical reaction or assuming a Michaelis-Menten kinetics. The effect of the respective mathematical representation on the terrestrial carbon-climate feedback is unclear. Using a simplified model of biogeochemical feedbacks to climate, I show that the terrestrial carbon-climate feedback roughly doubles when assuming Michaelis-Menten kinetics of respiration. Consequently, the remaining carbon budget to keep global warming below 2 °C is substantially higher. The effects of the respiration formulation also depend on the underlying emission scenario. These results highlight the importance of an increased understanding of the respiration processes on a global scale to more reliably project future carbon dynamics and climate and related feedback mechanisms and thus to estimate a valid remaining anthropogenic carbon budget using Earth system models. Copyright:

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Beer, C. (2025). Carbon-climate feedback higher when assuming Michaelis-Menten kinetics of respiration. Earth System Dynamics, 16(5), 1527–1537. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1527-2025

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