EchoAGE: Echocardiography-based Neural Network Model Forecasting Heart Biological Age

Abstract

Biological age is a personalized measure of the health status of an organism, organ, or system, as opposed to simply accounting for chronological age. To date, there have been known attempts to create estimators of biological age based on various biomedical data. In this work, we focused on developing an approach for assessing heart biological age using echocardiographic data. The current study included echocardiographic data from more than 5,000 different cases. As a result, we created EchoAGE – neural network model to determine heart biological age, that was tested on echocardiographic data from patients with age-related diseases, patients with multimorbidity, children with progeria syndrome, and diachronic data series. The model estimates biological age with a Mean Absolute Error of approximately 3.5 years, an R-squared value of around 0.88, and a Spearman's rank correlation coefficient greater than 0.9 in men and women. EchoAGE uses indicators such as E/A ratio of maximum flow rates in the first and second phases, thicknesses of the interventricular septum and the posterior left ventricular wall, cardiac output, and relative wall thickness. In addition, we have applied an AI explanation algorithm to improve understanding of how the model performs an assessment.