Analysis of the Effects of Inflation and Unemployment on the Poor Population of North Sumatra in 2001-2020

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to identify and analyze the effects of inflation and unemployment on the poor in North Sumatra from 2001-2020. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics for 2001-2020. The analysis used is regression analysis with the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. The results of this study are (1) Inflation in the short term has a positive and insignificant effect and in the long term Inflation has a positive and significant effect on the poor population in North Sumatra, (2) Unemployment in the short term and long term has a positive and insignificant effect on the population Poor in North Sumatra, (3) The independent variables in the long run in this model, namely Inflation and Unemployment, have a joint and significant effect on the poor population in North Sumatra.