Evaluation of Mechanical Properties of Concrete with Plastic Waste Using Random Forest and XGBoost Algorithms

Abstract

The increasing global production of plastic (P) waste presents a critical environmental challenge, while the construction industry’s demand for sustainable materials continues to grow. The building industry’s reliance on natural aggregates, a contributor to environmental degradation, requires sustainable alternatives. Utilizing plastic waste as a partial aggregate substitute in concrete offers dual advantages: preserving limited resources and redirecting waste from landfills. This research uses advanced machine learning (ML) to forecast the mechanical properties of P waste concrete. Random Forest (RF) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models with particle swarm optimization (PSO) were developed to predict compressive and tensile strengths of P waste concrete. A comprehensive dataset comprising 196 datapoints for compressive strength (CS) and 100 datapoints for tensile strength (TS) of P waste concrete was collected from the literature. The input parameters encompassed the plastic (P), cement (C), water-to-cement ratio (W/C), coarse aggregate (CA), fine aggregate (FA), and curing age (Age), while the outputs were CS and TS of P waste concrete. The constructed models were assessed utilizing various statistical metrics. The findings indicate that coefficient of determination of both XGBoost (CS, R2 = 0.9911, and TS, R2 = 0.9947) and RF (CS, R2 = 0.9757, and TS, R2 = 0.9737) models performed well, with XGBoost indicating better performance with fewer prediction errors. SHAP analysis emphasizes the substantial effect of P waste on concrete strength properties followed by C and Age. Furthermore, GUIs for predicting TS and CS of concrete containing P waste utilizing both RF and XGBoost models were developed. Overall, this study not only achieves superior accuracy through hybrid PSO-ML models but also contributes to sustainable construction materials and computational material science, offering a data-driven framework for optimizing mix designs that incorporate plastic waste, which can accelerate its adoption in eco-friendly engineering applications.