Design of a Comprehensive Intelligent Traffic Network Model for Baltimore with Consideration of Multiple Factors

Abstract

The collapse of Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge in March 2024 has stressed the need for urban traffic network optimization within smart city initiatives. This paper utilizes the ARIMA model to forecast what traffic would have been like if the bridge had not collapsed, giving us a benchmark to assess the impact. It then identifies the roads most affected by comparing these forecasts with the actual post-collapse traffic data. To address the increased demand for efficient public transport, we propose an intelligent bus network model. This model uses principal component analysis and grid segmentation to inform decisions on increasing bus stations and adjusting bus frequencies on key routes. It aims to satisfy stakeholders by enhancing service coverage and reliability. The research also presents a comprehensive traffic model that leverages principal component analysis, genetic algorithms, and KD-tree to evaluate overall and directional traffic flow, providing strategic insights into congestion mitigation. Furthermore, it examines traffic safety issues, including accident-prone areas and traffic signal intersections, to offer recommendations. Finally, the study evaluates the effectiveness, stability, and benefits of the proposed intelligent traffic network model, aiming to improve the city’s traffic infrastructure and safety.