La transición de la secundaria a la educación media superior en México: El difícil camino a la cobertura universal

Abstract

The Mexican Constitution has established that universal access to highschool education must be achieved by 2021. The high drop-out rates at the transition between secondary and high school present an obstacle in the way of this goal. In this article we analyze two aspects of this transition: secondary school graduations and absorption in the official survey conducted by Mexico's statistics agency - INEGI's Encuesta Intercensal of 2015. With these two variables we constructed aggregated indicators at both a national and state level. We also used logistic regression models as dependent variables. The variations between federal entities are not entirely explained by their socioeconomic levels; also, the opportunities for making the transition to highschool education continue to be linked to a combination of disadvantages based on where children live, underlying social inequalities and sociodemographic aspects that pose an enormous challenge to attaining universal coverage by the beginning of the next decade.