Covid-19 and Iraq: The exponential epidemic

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) epidemic, which originated in Wuhan, China, has now extended to more than 200 countries and administrative regions infecting nearly 36,792,906 individuals of all ages as of 9 October 2020. Many of these articles pursue to investigate the epidemiological parameters of the disease at different locations to disseminate critical information among both modellers and policymakers for a timely control response to be implemented. Iraq has had 394,566 confirmed cases with 9,683 deaths according to the last update registration of Iraq Ministry of Health. In the infected region, despite unusual efforts to limit the movement of people at the expense of the Iraqi economy, we are dealing with an even greater fear that the number of patients who present to the emergency room will become much greater than the system can cope with. Finally, our analysis tends to suggest that measures to reduce transmission should certainly be implemented, as our government did on March 9, by inhibiting people’s movement and social activities, unless strictly required. The most effective way to contain this viral outbreak in Iraq is probably to avoid close contact at the individual level and social meetings.